Prophet Predictions#


Prophet Predictions#

This notebooks performs some basic time series forecasting using Prophet from Facebook.

Prediction Per Year#

2017 - 14531.0 CVEs
2018 - 15917.0 CVEs
2019 - 17128.0 CVEs
2020 - 18310.0 CVEs
2021 - 20861.0 CVEs
2022 - 24294.0 CVEs
2023 - 27921.0 CVEs
2024 - 31427.0 CVEs
2025 - 34713.0 CVEs
2026 - 38063.0 CVEs
2027 - 41411.0 CVEs
2028 - 44798.0 CVEs
2029 - 48132.0 CVEs
2030 - 51499.0 CVEs
2031 - 54868.0 CVEs
2032 - 42940.0 CVEs

Plot the Forecast#

This shows the plot for all previous data and the next 10 years.

_images/CVEProphet_9_0.png

Plot the Forecast With Change Points#

This shows the plot for all previous data and the next 10 years with changepoints marked where the data had abrupt changes in its trajectories.

_images/CVEProphet_12_0.png

Most CVE Per Day Predictions For The Next Year#

ds yhat yhat_lower yhat_upper
2209 2023-06-07 112.0 55.0 168.0
2251 2023-07-19 110.0 56.0 168.0
2258 2023-07-26 110.0 55.0 166.0
2153 2023-04-12 110.0 51.0 166.0
2146 2023-04-05 110.0 58.0 168.0
2314 2023-09-20 110.0 51.0 168.0
2307 2023-09-13 109.0 58.0 166.0
2139 2023-03-29 109.0 52.0 169.0
2321 2023-09-27 109.0 48.0 163.0
2160 2023-04-19 109.0 54.0 168.0

Most CVE Per Day Predictions For The Next 5 Years#

ds yhat yhat_lower yhat_upper
3672 2027-06-09 148.0 93.0 202.0
3714 2027-07-21 148.0 89.0 203.0
3609 2027-04-07 147.0 94.0 203.0
3616 2027-04-14 147.0 89.0 204.0
3721 2027-07-28 147.0 93.0 201.0
3602 2027-03-31 146.0 89.0 195.0
3777 2027-09-22 146.0 88.0 199.0
3623 2027-04-21 146.0 88.0 205.0
3770 2027-09-15 146.0 87.0 199.0
3665 2027-06-02 146.0 91.0 200.0

Most CVE Per Day Predictions For The Next 10 Years#

ds yhat yhat_lower yhat_upper
5499 2032-06-09 194.0 135.0 250.0
5541 2032-07-21 194.0 140.0 251.0
5492 2032-06-02 193.0 134.0 246.0
5443 2032-04-14 193.0 135.0 250.0
5436 2032-04-07 193.0 131.0 251.0
5604 2032-09-22 192.0 128.0 249.0
5548 2032-07-28 192.0 135.0 249.0
5597 2032-09-15 192.0 133.0 249.0
5429 2032-03-31 192.0 136.0 246.0
5534 2032-07-14 191.0 130.0 256.0